The Key to Success is the Trading Strategy
A trading strategy is a set of rules that determines as precisely as possible what course of action should be taken in certain market situations. Every professional trader has a set of rules that tell him what to buy or sell, when and why.
A trading strategy should follow one simple rule: it should win more than it loses. More specifically: you should win more (more likely) and/or more (higher average return) on profitable trades than you lose on unprofitable trades.
History repeats itself
As far as market movements are concerned, history often repeats itself, “even if not in the same exact way, often in very similar ways. As traders, one of our most important tasks is to take advantage of any odds – however small it may seem – that the market offers.
We can create effective strategies for recurring market situations that happen as often as possible. Thanks to recurrences we can observe, that the patterns examined often precede certain movements, such as a trend reversal, and thus to draw conclusions about the future direction of price movements.
Disciplined trading
Once you have created or bought a strategy and decided to trade it, you cannot diverge from its set of rules. If we did break the rules, it would mean that we had no strategy and were just blindly taking positions, however, in this way, we would be merely gambling.
Disciplined trading and following the rules of the strategy does not mean that you cannot change the given system. The point is not to make ad hoc changes, but to make changes that are based on sound and tested observations. Once these conditions have been met, you can put the renewed strategy to work, respecting the new rules.
The ideal strategy should have a well-defined set of rules. That said, it should be acknowledged that price movements are so diverse that no pattern can ever be perfectly defined, and there will always be situations in which the trader is challenged by the market. It is in these wobbly situations that the trader’s knowledge, practice, and experience come into play.
Trading Strategies and Styles
Trading strategies can be categorized based on several criteria. Some strategies have a high win rate, while others have a high risk-reward (RR) ratio. In strategies with a high win rate, the profit level is typically smaller than the stop-loss level. This means that the stop-loss is closer to the entry point than the take-profit. These are usually scalping strategies, where trades are made with a small profit target and a larger stop-loss, but 8-9 out of 10 trades are profitable. On the other hand, strategies with a higher profit potential but lower win rate may experience more losing trades than winning ones, but due to the larger profit targets, they can still be successful. An example of this is the breakout strategy, where the trader opens small positions with a low stop level, anticipating a larger price movement (rally). In this strategy, it’s common for the stop level to be hit frequently in small losses as the price retraces slightly, but when the expected breakout occurs, significant profits can be achieved.